EuroBasket 2025: Can Luka, Giannis or Jokic Lead the Scoring Charts?

EuroBasket 2025 is here, and the stage belongs to Europe’s biggest stars. Luka Doncic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokic and Lauri Markkanen headline a tournament that promises fireworks and stat lines to match.

EuroBasket 2025 has tipped off with 24 of the continent’s best squads chasing gold and glory, but the real buzz is around the top scorer market. Luka Doncic leads the odds at +250, with Giannis Antetokounmpo close behind at +275, Lauri Markkanen at +550 and Nikola Jokic at +600. This race is shaping up to be one of the most compelling storylines of the tournament, and early results could set the tone for how it unfolds.

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With that in mind, attention now turns to the court, where the race for the scoring title looks as open as it has in years. Doncic leads the pre-tournament odds, but Giannis’s two-way dominance, Markkanen’s scoring volume and Jokic’s unmatched versatility make this a four-way battle that could go down to the wire.

Luka Doncic: Usage is everything

Slovenia are not favorites to win the tournament but that has never stopped Luka from dominating the ball. His scoring average in past international tournaments has hovered around 25 points per game, and with Slovenia relying heavily on his playmaking and shooting, that number could climb even higher.

Even if Slovenia exit in the quarterfinals, Doncic can still finish as Top Scorer because his per-game usage and shot volume are unmatched. The challenge will be efficiency. With defenses loading up and limited support around him, he will need to keep his shooting percentage steady to stay ahead of the field.

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Sheer dominance

Giannis brings a different problem for opposing defenses. His ability to get to the rim at will and draw contact can overwhelm even elite frontcourts. The question is whether Greece can maintain the level that lets him sustain a higher average than Doncic across the tournament.

Greece do not have the depth of Serbia, France or Germany, but that also means Giannis has to do almost everything. That level of responsibility can translate to elite per-game numbers in group play and beyond. If Greece are still standing late, he could claim the scoring crown on sheer efficiency and volume per night.

Lauri Markkanen: Finland’s lone star

Finland are unlikely to challenge for medals but Lauri Markkanen has shown he can carry a heavy scoring load in FIBA competition. His size and shooting touch create constant matchup issues. Like Doncic, his team will lean on him in almost every possession.

For a PPG title, the path is straightforward. He needs consistent high-end nights regardless of how far Finland go. If Finland exit early, he stays in the race by keeping his average in the high twenties across every appearance.

Nikola Jokic: The balanced superstar

Serbia enter EuroBasket as outright favorites at even money and Jokic is the reason why. He is arguably the best player in the world but his case for top scorer is less convincing than the others because of his unselfish style.

Serbia’s depth means Jokic will spend just as much time creating for teammates like Bogdan Bogdanovic as scoring himself. Unless the knockout stages demand higher-volume shooting, his per-game average may lag behind Doncic and Giannis even if Serbia reach the gold-medal game.

Lessons from history

Looking back at EuroBasket history, the top scorer race often splits into two patterns. In some years, the scoring leader is also the MVP, like Dirk Nowitzki in 2005 or Pau Gasol in 2015. In others, the top scorer is a lone star whose team could not keep pace, such as Giannis in 2022, when his 29.3 points per game were not enough for Greece to medal.

The ability to post huge single-game numbers has often been a marker of future top scorers, and several of this year’s favorites have already proven they can light up the scoreboard. Doncic’s 47-point performance against France in 2022 remains the second-highest single-game total in EuroBasket history, while Giannis dropped 41 points on Ukraine that same year. Lauri Markkanen also joined the 40-point club in 2022, torching Croatia for 43 points in a group stage win.

History shows that players capable of those outbursts often drive the scoring race, especially if they keep their averages high against tougher opponents. That context makes this year’s race even more intriguing, with three proven volume scorers entering the tournament in top form.